Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $270 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$22 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $255 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$24 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $181 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$8 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $150 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $147 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $200 | 46¢ | 18¢ | -$124 |
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Tech | Yes | $95 | 33¢ | 8.5¢ | -$71 |
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $15 | 39¢ | 2.9¢ | -$13 |
Falcons vs. SaintsNFL | SaintsResolved | $54 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $90 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will MrBeast say "Walmart" at the NYT DealBook Summit?Mentions | YesResolved | $24 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $41 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Execration (BO1)eSports | ExecrationResolved | $28 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Finance | UpResolved | $60 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | NoResolved | $24 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Meta (META) Up or Down on November 20?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy | YesResolved | $69 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 2?Finance | UpResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaeSports | LGD GamingResolved | $31 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $28 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $18 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 18?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 18?Finance | UpResolved | $1 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 21?Finance | UpResolved | $20 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 20?Finance | UpResolved | $20 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersOther sports | BYUResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $90 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
TikTok sale announced by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $13 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 21?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $86 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will MrBeast say "Creating Content" at the NYT DealBook Summit?Mentions | YesResolved | $18 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 17?Finance | UpResolved | $10 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $28 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $69 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $157 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$157 |
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $9 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Capitals vs. DucksNHL | CapitalsResolved | $55 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 17?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Clippers vs. HornetsNBA | HornetsResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 23?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $111 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)eSports | NRGResolved | $27 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?Weather | NoResolved | $19 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Chicago record the first snowfall?Weather | YesResolved | $31 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 20?Finance | UpResolved | $11 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Rockets vs. SunsNBA | SunsResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Rhino" in December?Mentions | YesResolved | $24 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | MuhammadResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Minnesota vs. NorthwesternOther sports | MinnesotaResolved | $8 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Pistons vs. BucksNBA | BucksResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on November 20?Finance | UpResolved | $20 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $32 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Warriors vs. MagicNBA | WarriorsResolved | $10 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on November 18?Finance | UpResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?Weather | NoResolved | $381 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$381 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |