← Whale Watch

mymacbook

Predicting since Nov 20254,057 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $1.1K across 10 NBA markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$00.4¢37¢+$10
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$00.4¢14¢+$4
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢5.8¢+$3
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$180.8¢0.1¢-$15
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?PoliticsYes$4214¢0.9¢-$39
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$00.3¢5.8¢+$2
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYes$80.2¢0.1¢-$6
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$013¢98¢+$2
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.7¢0.7¢-$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$11.9¢3.0¢+$1
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFLYes$36.0¢2.2¢-$2
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$00.2¢1.1¢+$1
Will world GDP growth be 3.6% in 2026?EconomyYes-$0-1.8¢5.5¢+$1
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$180.8¢0.1¢-$17
Will the US strike 1 country in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$68.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jesper Bratt win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mathis Preston be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$680.8¢0.0¢-$68
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$4-0.5¢0.0¢+$4
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$850.2¢0.0¢-$85
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?PoliticsYesResolved$323.2¢0.0¢-$32
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?TechYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$100.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$1262.1¢0.0¢-$126
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Passion UA win IEM Rio 2026?eSportsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$260.3¢0.0¢-$26
Will Marcelo Alves win Big Brother Brasil 26?CultureYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Andrea Pinamonti be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie AYesResolved$01.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Owen Tippett win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Washington Commanders draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Mackenzie Blackwood win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Legacy win IEM Rio 2026?eSportsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Samuel Ersson win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$2-0.5¢0.0¢+$2
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$300.1¢0.0¢-$30
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jake Guentzel win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?PoliticsYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Oxford United win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?NFLYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?NBAYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike 0 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Juraj Slafkovsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?EconomyYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?PoliticsYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Will Justin Gaethje fight Max Holloway next?UFC / MMAYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Francesco Camarda be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie AYesResolved$01.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nico Hischier win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will West Ham United win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?NBAYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.1¢0.0¢+$1
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$260.3¢0.0¢-$26
Will Alex DeBrincat win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will another player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?TennisYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$522.4¢0.0¢-$52
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?FinanceYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$680.8¢0.0¢-$68
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1100.2¢0.0¢-$110
Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?NBAYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Graham Burke score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Soccer (other)YesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?TechYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will Connor Bedard win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$4-0.5¢0.0¢+$4
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?WeatherYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$4.1K
NBA-$1.7K
Premier League-$897
Champions League-$232
Basketball (other)-$212
Other sports-$146
Culture+$102
eSports-$98
Tennis+$77
Cricket+$74
Finance+$68
MLB+$67
Biggest hit
+$451
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$891
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$12mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$22mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$12mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$22mo ago
  • Sold No · Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?$142mo ago
  • Bought No · Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?$252mo ago