← Whale Watch

ronaldk

Predicting since Jun 2024347 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $26K on Politics markets since Jun 2024.

Right now: $600 riding on Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?.

Biggest hit: +$3.6K on US bank failure by July 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$22641¢96¢+$301
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$40550¢48¢-$14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$24944¢67¢+$130
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsYes$60028¢9.5¢-$393
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$12138¢52¢+$44
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$7445¢99¢+$90
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$22367¢48¢-$65
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$8016¢26¢+$48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10045¢44¢-$3
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?PoliticsNo$3648¢96¢+$36
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechYes$2082¢97¢+$4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$869.4¢0.0¢-$86
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$6042¢0.0¢-$60
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsNoResolved$16138¢0.0¢-$161
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$29765¢0.0¢-$297
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6367¢0.0¢-$63

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$26K
Economy+$3.5K
Tech+$1.7K
Culture+$649
Mentions+$502
World Cup-$60
Other+$40
Crypto-$1
Biggest hit
+$3.6K
US bank failure by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$965
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$1.4K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$1.1K1d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$2055d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4235d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$626d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?$998d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?$1.0K8d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$2698d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?$7098d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?$658d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$2068d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?$10911d ago