ronaldk

Predicting since Jun 2024377 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $29K on Politics markets since Jun 2024.

Right now: $1.5K riding on Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?.

Biggest hit: +$3.6K on US bank failure by July 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$1.4K	66¢	73¢	+$145
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$391	68¢	100¢	+$187
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics	No	$226	41¢	100¢	+$323
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$429	47¢	53¢	+$56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$249	44¢	71¢	+$153
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics	Yes	$405	50¢	37¢	-$108
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics	No	$223	67¢	61¢	-$20
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech	Yes	$113	65¢	100¢	+$61
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Politics	Yes	$600	28¢	7.5¢	-$437
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$80	16¢	26¢	+$48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$100	45¢	56¢	+$26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$95	51¢	59¢	+$14
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics	Yes	$48	63¢	94¢	+$24
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Politics	No	$36	48¢	96¢	+$36
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$52	52¢	3.5¢	-$49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics	YesResolved	$86	9.4¢	0.0¢	-$86
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Politics	YesResolved	$277	56¢	0.0¢	-$277
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Politics	GrüneResolved	$1.5K	49¢	0.0¢	-$1.5K
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup	ArgentinaResolved	$60	41¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics	NoResolved	$161	38¢	0.0¢	-$161
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$297	65¢	0.0¢	-$297
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$63	67¢	0.0¢	-$63

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$29K

Economy+$3.7K

Tech+$2.9K

Culture+$649

Mentions+$502

World Cup-$60

Other+$40

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$3.6K

US bank failure by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$965

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$1.4K4d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?$246d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?$246d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?$8668d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?$78d ago
Sold Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?$419d ago
Sold Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?$4039d ago
Sold Yes · Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?$1959d ago
Sold Yes · Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?$19d ago