Casian83

Predicting since Dec 202541 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$11	22¢	0.0¢	-$11
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$20	33¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	39¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$11	7.5¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	21¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$11	36¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eight Peace Deals" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	20¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$19	64¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	11¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	10¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?Champions League	NoResolved	$10	88¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$118

Champions League-$8

Mentions-$5

Biggest hit

+$31

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$9

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$27mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$87mo ago
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$17mo ago
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$27mo ago
Bought No · US government shutdown Saturday?$108mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$108mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$108mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$18mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$78mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$38mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$118mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$138mo ago