 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 34¢ | 6.5¢ | -$15 |
 Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 4?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 51°F or below on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or higher on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 27?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C or below on May 3?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 21?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on May 5?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 26?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 27?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 27?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 40°C or higher on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 20?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 4?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or below on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 26?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 20?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on April 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 21?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 20?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on May 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 29?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -2°C on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 13?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C or below on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 17°C on April 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C or higher on May 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on May 4?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 16?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$165d ago