 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $699 | 100¢ | 96¢ | -$24 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $385 | 54¢ | 64¢ | +$69 |
 Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Politics | No | $371 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $371 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | No | $351 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$6 |
 Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $278 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $251 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$10 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $252 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$3 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?Politics | No | $250 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $189 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $140 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $91 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$21 |
 Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $111 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?Politics | No | $107 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Politics | No | $88 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $812 | 93¢ | 10¢ | -$721 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $43 | 20¢ | 42¢ | +$46 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 4.1¢ | 10¢ | +$53 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | No | $76 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?Politics | No | $59 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$13 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $65 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $64 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?Politics | No | $64 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $53 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $52 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $50 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will James Ingram be the Republican nominee for MO-06?Politics | No | $49 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $25 | 22¢ | 44¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $47 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Weather | No | $36 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $37 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $36 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?Politics | No | $33 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $34 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.9¢ | 3.6¢ | +$25 |
 Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 88¢ | +$29 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?Politics | No | $28 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?Politics | No | $28 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 60¢ | +$27 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $32 | 69¢ | 58¢ | -$5 |
 Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $26 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $23 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | No | $128 | 32¢ | 6.0¢ | -$104 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $21 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $22 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $13 | 35¢ | 57¢ | +$9 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSports | No | $22 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $20 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Politics | No | $18 | 51¢ | 57¢ | +$2 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 24¢ | +$19 |
 Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $18 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $68 | 34¢ | 9.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Jessica de la Cruz win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $15 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Politics | No | $25 | 42¢ | 28¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $17 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $19 | 86¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $17 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $17 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $18 | 48¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?Politics | No | $16 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 51¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $16 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $16 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $18 | 75¢ | 66¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $15 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $23 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | No | $165 | 30¢ | 2.8¢ | -$150 |
 Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?NFL | No | $15 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?MLB | No | $14 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $15 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $14 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $14 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $14 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $13 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $14 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $14 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $13 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $14 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $13 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $13 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $12 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Politics | No | $12 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 26?$120m ago
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