| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $7 | 61¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $6 | 54¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $4 | 36¢ | 75¢ | +$5 |
Will Shrek 5 be delayed?Other | No | $7 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September?eSports | No | $7 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Crypto | No | $4 | 41¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $7 | 59¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 84¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $7 | 61¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $6 | 55¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Finance | No | $4 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 21¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?UFC / MMA | No | $4 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?Crypto | No | $3 | 60¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Crypto | No | $2 | 56¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $2 | 45¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $4 | 30¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 64¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $2 | 38¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Tech | No | $7 | 71¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $2 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.6¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Will Stripe not IPO by December 31, 2027?Finance | No | $1 | 49¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 29¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 62¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance | Yes | $1 | 67¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Weather | Yes | $1 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 2.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.6¢ | 4.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 55¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?Crypto | No | $1 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?Finance | No | $1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $1 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $1 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $1 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben SheltonTennis | Ben SheltonResolved | $4 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5MLS | UnderResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sydney United 58 FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5MLB | OverResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Motherwell FC vs. HB: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Spread: France (-1.5)World Cup | SenegalResolved | $3 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 0.5MLS | UnderResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5MLS | UnderResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $6 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Azzurri United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Pyunik Girls vs. Wrexham AFC: Wrexham AFC O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 15 and 20 minutes long?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bayswater City SC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |