 Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?College Football | Yes | $655 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$59 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $250 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$26 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $200 | 4.9¢ | 5.1¢ | +$10 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | Yes | $150 | 38¢ | 19¢ | -$75 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $100 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$68 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $200 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $200 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $200 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $23 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $400 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $500 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLB | San Francisco GiantsResolved | $333 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$333 |
 Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $45 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $250 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $250 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $150 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $100 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Solana Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic’s Claude Sonnet 4.5 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1000 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesNBA | Trail BlazersResolved | $81 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Kimi’s Kimi K2 Thinking win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??Finance | YesResolved | $117 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $350 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2K10d ago
Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$84910d ago