TontonGuy

Predicting since Mar 202643 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$16	26¢	65¢	+$24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$8	75¢	73¢	-$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$5	26¢	19¢	-$1
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$5	21¢	9.5¢	-$3
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	24¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	35¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump say "Normandy" during King Charles visit?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	70¢	0.0¢	-$5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Tech	YesResolved	$5	64¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	20¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	48¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	18¢	0.0¢	-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)Finance	YesResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	57¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Politics	YesResolved	$5	28¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump or Melania say "Deal" at Chicago Opening Night?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	82¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?Finance	YesResolved	$2	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$5	22¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy+$21

Tech-$17

Mentions+$11

World Cup-$11

Finance-$9

Weather+$2

Politics+$0

Biggest hit

+$18

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$15

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$42d ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$92d ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$33d ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$53d ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$53d ago
Sold Yes · Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$04d ago
Bought Yes · Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$220d ago
Sold No · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$621d ago
Bought Yes · Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?$523d ago
Bought Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$526d ago
Sold No · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$126d ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$028d ago