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TheQuietRisk
Up $775K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.
Right now: $248K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.
Biggest hit: +$488K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $248K | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$42K |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $52K | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $413 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$413 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $11K | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $17K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $363 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$363 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $152K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152K |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$775K
Crypto+$16K
Boxing-$9.9K
Biggest hit
+$488K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$84K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent moves
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7481mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$101mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$411mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$251mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4181mo ago