← Whale Watch

uncleroger

Predicting since Oct 2024789 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $116K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $60K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$34K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$60K90¢83¢-$4.8K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2.3K79¢85¢+$175
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1.3K87¢92¢+$68
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.1K78¢80¢+$19
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$79390¢96¢+$54
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$43587¢88¢+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$54018¢13¢-$164
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$39078¢67¢-$58
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$26187¢94¢+$21
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$6720¢61¢+$143
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$11438¢68¢+$89
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$26927¢20¢-$73
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$69011¢0.0¢-$690

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$116K
Crypto+$33K
Weather+$5.7K
Tech-$3.9K
Finance+$3.6K
World Cup+$2.7K
Culture-$2.5K
Tennis-$1.6K
Boxing+$1.6K
NFL-$1.3K
Economy-$1.0K
Mentions-$807
Biggest hit
+$34K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$9.7K
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$519h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$482d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21K4d ago