 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Culture | No | $1 | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $3 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Economy | No | $2 | 70¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 51¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $1 | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Politics | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 65¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 40¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?$22h ago
Bought Yes · Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?$12h ago