 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$115 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$28 |
 Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $65 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $58 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
 Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $36 | 8.9¢ | 14¢ | +$18 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $32 | 27¢ | 42¢ | +$17 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | Yes | $16 | 29¢ | 81¢ | +$30 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | Yes | $49 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
 Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $35 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$9 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $33 | 54¢ | 69¢ | +$9 |
 Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Weather | Yes | $46 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $31 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 15¢ | 27¢ | +$14 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?MLS | No | $35 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
 Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $27 | 39¢ | 45¢ | +$4 |
 Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 28¢ | 19¢ | -$14 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | Yes | $11 | 35¢ | 73¢ | +$13 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?MLB | No | $12 | 6.6¢ | 12¢ | +$10 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $15 | 21¢ | 33¢ | +$8 |
 Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Economy | Yes | $32 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$10 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $19 | 27¢ | 31¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 9.0¢ | 21¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?Politics | No | $22 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $11 | 45¢ | 58¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $17 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Economy | Yes | $12 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 32¢ | +$4 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Tech | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $11 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
 Haiti elections delayed again?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 20¢ | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 16¢ | 25¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ben Olsen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLS | Yes | $0 | 0.6¢ | 19¢ | +$10 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Will Hugo Fontaine win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 8.2¢ | +$7 |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 30¢ | 7.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Cerro Porteño win Copa Libertadores?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 7.3¢ | +$6 |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 2.9¢ | 3.9¢ | +$2 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 1.3¢ | 3.6¢ | +$4 |
 Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 3.7¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 41¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
| Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 8.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win less than 32% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.7¢ | 1.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 43¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $2 | 46¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 31¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jovana Nogic have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $2 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 32¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
| Will “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 1.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 68¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $1 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 7.0¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jacy Sheldon have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $27 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $429,000 and $431,000 on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bought Yes · Will Chewy say "Amazon" during earnings call?$618h ago