← Whale Watch

AusMaximus

Predicting since Oct 2024343 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$13888¢88¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$5595¢99¢+$3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$4082¢80¢-$1
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechAnthropic$2562¢89¢+$11
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$9027¢10¢-$57
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$2887¢99¢+$4
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4044¢27¢-$15
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$181.7¢2.4¢+$7
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1833¢43¢+$6
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$1994¢96¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2061¢56¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2027¢25¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2041¢36¢-$3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2219¢14¢-$6
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$936¢65¢+$7
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$302.3¢1.1¢-$15
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$2022¢17¢-$5
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$169.7¢8.5¢-$2
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$1781¢65¢-$3
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1261¢64¢+$1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$535¢86¢+$7
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$96.7¢8.5¢+$2
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsYes$173.2¢2.1¢-$6
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$1092¢100¢+$1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$3032¢12¢-$19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2027¢15¢-$9
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1482¢66¢-$3
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$881¢100¢+$2
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$991¢96¢+$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$716¢20¢+$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$982¢87¢+$0
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?CultureNo$1099¢89¢-$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$779¢95¢+$1
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?EconomyYes$2026¢11¢-$12
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$787¢100¢+$1
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3227¢7.0¢-$24
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$553¢85¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$338¢100¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1024¢16¢-$3
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyYes$527¢37¢+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$456¢84¢+$2
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?CryptoYes$139.0¢4.1¢-$7
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$589¢99¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$466¢94¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$463¢83¢+$1
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$41.7¢2.1¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$527¢27¢-$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$442¢44¢+$0
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$530¢27¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$463¢59¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$238¢64¢+$2
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?EconomyYes$1020¢7.0¢-$6
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$418¢14¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$256¢76¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$394¢99¢+$0
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$397¢99¢+$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$33.0¢3.4¢+$0
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$389¢92¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$275¢100¢+$1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$234¢43¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$424¢17¢-$1
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$284¢100¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$290¢95¢+$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$562¢31¢-$2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$292¢99¢+$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$254¢56¢+$0
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsYes$520¢8.3¢-$3
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$24.0¢3.4¢-$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$258¢56¢-$0
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?TechNo$290¢79¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$744¢12¢-$5
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$239¢34¢-$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$283¢69¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$257¢44¢-$0
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$351¢27¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$28.6¢4.3¢-$1
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$01.2¢13¢+$1
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1032¢3.2¢-$9
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open?GolfYesResolved$43.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?FinanceYesResolved$87.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?EconomyYesResolved$3152¢0.0¢-$31
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?TechYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$5535¢0.0¢-$55
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$1538¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump shake hands with Friedrich Merz at the World Economic Forum?PoliticsYesResolved$480¢0.0¢-$4
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$397¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$5551¢0.0¢-$55
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$258¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$334¢0.0¢-$3
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$641¢0.0¢-$6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$13522¢0.0¢-$135
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$55.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1680¢0.0¢-$16
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?EconomyYesResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$41757¢0.0¢-$417
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Formula 1-$574
Politics-$446
World Cup-$369
Economy-$220
Finance+$167
Crypto+$72
UFC / MMA+$11
Mentions-$10
Tennis+$8
Weather+$8
Culture-$6
Tech-$3
Biggest hit
+$166
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$183
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$31h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$21d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$51d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$22d ago