Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $642 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$16 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $340 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $520 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$295 |
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $170 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$20 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $159 | 63¢ | 75¢ | +$28 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $83 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $92 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$9 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$8 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $53 | 5.3¢ | 6.3¢ | +$11 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $135 | 34¢ | 14¢ | -$78 |
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $26 | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$29 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 3.3¢ | 4.4¢ | +$9 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $71 | 71¢ | 23¢ | -$49 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $53 | 18¢ | 7.2¢ | -$32 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $21 | 8.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $17 | 3.5¢ | 2.3¢ | -$6 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $87 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $389 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$389 |
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $255 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$255 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $22 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $365 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$365 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $12 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $29 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $58 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $47 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Politics | NoResolved | $152 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $28 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $5 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $6 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $42 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?Formula 1 | RussellResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $20 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?World Cup | YesResolved | $48 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $75 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | MoroccoResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |