← Whale Watch

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

Predicting since Aug 20211,227 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $185K on Other markets since Aug 2021.

Right now: $510K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$121K on Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$510K85¢99¢+$86K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$263K89¢95¢+$17K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$139K87¢85¢-$3.9K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$84K90¢94¢+$3.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$22K41¢42¢+$291
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$13K80¢88¢+$1.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$11K70¢73¢+$476
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.7K98¢98¢+$22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$8.6K65¢56¢-$1.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.9K32¢82¢+$4.5K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.1K92¢94¢+$116
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$4086.0¢97¢+$6.2K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.9¢+$1.1K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$4.4K92¢96¢+$166
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.3K0.8¢0.7¢-$556
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K66¢80¢+$388
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.8¢0.4¢-$2.8K
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.8¢0.3¢-$3.4K
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.3¢-$3.3K
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5910.8¢1.6¢+$581
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$88269¢88¢+$229
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.3¢-$2.3K
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.3¢-$2.3K
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$63449¢82¢+$434
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.8¢0.1¢-$4.0K
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.8¢0.1¢-$4.0K
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.8¢0.1¢-$4.0K
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.8¢0.1¢-$4.0K
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.9K0.8¢0.1¢-$3.9K
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9010.8¢0.8¢-$36
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$8560.8¢0.8¢-$34
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?PoliticsNo$75386¢92¢+$48
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.1K0.8¢0.5¢-$333
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5110.8¢1.1¢+$241
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.1¢-$2.8K
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.1¢-$2.8K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.1¢-$2.8K
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.1¢-$2.8K
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.4K0.8¢0.1¢-$2.8K
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$44135¢36¢+$14
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$37434¢35¢+$11
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3920.8¢0.7¢-$66
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5350.8¢0.4¢-$227
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3500.8¢0.7¢-$59
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.2K
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢1.1¢+$70
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2880.8¢0.7¢-$48
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3340.8¢0.5¢-$99
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.8¢-$8
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.9¢+$34
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.9¢+$34
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3300.8¢0.4¢-$140
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3920.8¢0.4¢-$216
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3920.8¢0.4¢-$216
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1420.8¢0.9¢+$31
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3480.8¢0.4¢-$192
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4690.8¢0.3¢-$319
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3320.8¢0.4¢-$183
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.5¢-$60
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.5¢-$60
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.5¢-$60
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$33823¢9.0¢-$206
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.5¢-$73
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3920.8¢0.3¢-$266
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3890.8¢0.3¢-$264
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$86
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$86
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$86
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.5¢-$46
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2040.8¢0.4¢-$112
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$112
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$112
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$112
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$112
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.4¢-$112
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2740.8¢0.3¢-$186
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2210.8¢0.3¢-$150
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.3¢-$138
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.8¢0.3¢-$138
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$670.8¢0.8¢-$3
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$770.8¢0.7¢-$13
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1720.8¢0.3¢-$117
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$780.8¢0.4¢-$33
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$780.8¢0.4¢-$43
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$780.8¢0.4¢-$43
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$2644.3¢0.3¢-$248
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?PoliticsNo$993¢96¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$899¢100¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Other+$185K
Politics-$6.6K
Crypto-$1.2K
World Cup-$21
Biggest hit
+$121K
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
Toughest beat
-$45K
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$09m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$011m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$015m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$016m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$017m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$018m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$024m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$029m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$032m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$038m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$040m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$044m ago