← Whale Watch

rayalen

Predicting since Dec 202471 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?WeatherNoResolved$884¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 10?WeatherYesResolved$15.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?WeatherYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?WeatherYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$19.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13?WeatherYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?WeatherYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?WeatherNoResolved$881¢0.0¢-$8
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?TechYesResolved$3225¢0.0¢-$32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?WeatherNoResolved$880¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?WeatherNoResolved$664¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$132
Crypto-$29
Weather-$10
Politics-$1
Biggest hit
+$58
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$24
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$9313d ago
  • Sold No · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$41713d ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$925d ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?$71mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$191mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$291mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2001mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1551mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$291mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$71mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$501mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?$101mo ago