garkein

Predicting since Nov 2024502 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.8K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $2.5K riding on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?.

Biggest hit: +$4.1K on Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	NoResolved	$440	90¢	0.0¢	-$440
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	NoResolved	$700	97¢	0.0¢	-$700
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$200	70¢	0.0¢	-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSports	G2 EsportsResolved	$60	26¢	0.0¢	-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnereSports	Bilibili GamingResolved	$11	18¢	0.0¢	-$11
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Crypto	NoResolved	$250	87¢	0.0¢	-$250
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$200	75¢	0.0¢	-$200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$2.2K	84¢	0.0¢	-$2.2K
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports	ThunderTalk GamingResolved	$6	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Culture	YesResolved	$70	35¢	0.0¢	-$70
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSports	LYONResolved	$30	15¢	0.0¢	-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$2.5K	82¢	0.0¢	-$2.5K
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSports	Team WEResolved	$141	24¢	0.0¢	-$141
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?Politics	NoResolved	$200	84¢	0.0¢	-$200
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports	JD GamingResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics	NoResolved	$40	10¢	0.0¢	-$40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$400	92¢	0.0¢	-$400
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics	YesResolved	$527	96¢	0.0¢	-$527
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$433	19¢	0.0¢	-$433
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?Politics	NoResolved	$100	22¢	0.0¢	-$100
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$200	83¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics	YesResolved	$200	96¢	0.0¢	-$200
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports	EDward GamingResolved	$160	89¢	0.0¢	-$160
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics	YesResolved	$1.5K	76¢	0.0¢	-$1.5K
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Politics	YesResolved	$200	54¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$402	67¢	0.0¢	-$402
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$80	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$80
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group AeSports	BNK FEARXResolved	$116	29¢	0.0¢	-$116

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.8K

Crypto+$3.7K

eSports+$2.9K

Boxing+$880

Culture+$463

World Cup+$284

Weather-$238

Finance-$59

Tech-$58

Other sports-$33

Economy+$17

Mentions-$4

Biggest hit

+$4.1K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$4.8K

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$6111mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?$5481mo ago
Bought Avengers: Doomsday · Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?$1861mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$361mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$91mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$91mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1191mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$711mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1041mo ago