← Whale Watch

garkein

Predicting since Nov 2024478 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.9K on Crypto markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $26K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.1K on Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$24K83¢87¢+$1.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$18K82¢92¢+$2.1K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$12K94¢96¢+$264
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$12K98¢99¢+$195
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.9K87¢92¢+$485
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$8.0K94¢95¢+$77
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K95¢99¢+$211
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K94¢96¢+$108
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.3K93¢95¢+$75
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.6K95¢99¢+$148
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K80¢92¢+$275
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$2.0K100¢100¢+$3
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.7K85¢93¢+$158
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$90045¢95¢+$990
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.7K83¢87¢+$70
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$1.3K96¢97¢+$13
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K96¢95¢-$13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.4K40¢38¢-$73
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1.1K73¢83¢+$142
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$100077¢94¢+$220
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K67¢58¢-$194
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K87¢94¢+$85
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$100096¢98¢+$18
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$98799¢100¢+$8
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$91892¢97¢+$57
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$90891¢96¢+$54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$81281¢95¢+$133
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$92092¢95¢+$25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$93093¢95¢+$15
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$88088¢86¢-$25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$83078¢80¢+$17
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$90090¢83¢-$75
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$61181¢94¢+$90
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$64492¢93¢+$4
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$54090¢100¢+$58
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$51686¢88¢+$9
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$42585¢95¢+$47
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$46266¢66¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$85181¢44¢-$394
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$44088¢91¢+$12
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$24149¢88¢+$191
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$38997¢100¢+$10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37293¢99¢+$25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$34486¢96¢+$38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$32581¢83¢+$7
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$31679¢80¢+$2
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?CultureAvengers: Doomsday$27395¢97¢+$6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$28495¢92¢-$6
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$23177¢90¢+$38
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$26789¢88¢-$3
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23779¢88¢+$26
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$20074¢89¢+$39
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$10072¢81¢+$12
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$15351¢32¢-$57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7575¢89¢+$14
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?TechSpaceX$2688¢97¢+$3
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2211¢9.0¢-$4
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5025¢6.5¢-$37
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$60.8¢0.9¢+$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$101.7¢0.4¢-$7
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$44090¢0.0¢-$440
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$70097¢0.0¢-$700
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$20070¢0.0¢-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSportsG2 EsportsResolved$6026¢0.0¢-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnereSportsBilibili GamingResolved$1118¢0.0¢-$11
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$25087¢0.0¢-$250
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$20075¢0.0¢-$200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K84¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$7035¢0.0¢-$70
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSportsLYONResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K82¢0.0¢-$2.5K
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsTeam WEResolved$274.7¢0.0¢-$27
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?PoliticsNoResolved$20084¢0.0¢-$200
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$40092¢0.0¢-$400
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$43319¢0.0¢-$433
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$20083¢0.0¢-$200
Will the government shutdown end November 12?PoliticsYesResolved$20096¢0.0¢-$200
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsEDward GamingResolved$16089¢0.0¢-$160
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K76¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$20054¢0.0¢-$200
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$40267¢0.0¢-$402
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$800.2¢0.0¢-$80
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group AeSportsBNK FEARXResolved$11629¢0.0¢-$116

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$5.9K
eSports+$3.0K
Boxing+$880
Politics+$802
Culture+$696
World Cup+$284
Weather-$226
Tech-$80
Finance-$50
Economy+$17
Other sports+$6
Mentions-$4
Biggest hit
+$4.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$4.8K
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$39024m ago
  • Bought No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$99524m ago
  • Sold No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$28h ago
  • Sold No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$714h ago
  • Sold No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$27315h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.0K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$3681d ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4881d ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$41d ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1001d ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$821d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$5401d ago