Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $18K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$9.1K |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $18K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$9.1K |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $2.6K | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$225 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $2.3K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $1.4K | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$256 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 5.7¢ | 83¢ | +$1.2K |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $997 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$187 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $880 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | No | $511 | 25¢ | 42¢ | +$328 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $348 | 58¢ | 91¢ | +$198 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$487 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $109 | 14¢ | 63¢ | +$391 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $670 | 67¢ | 45¢ | -$225 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $450 | 7.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$60 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $370 | 37¢ | 30¢ | -$75 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 7.3¢ | 42¢ | +$223 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $385 | 77¢ | 48¢ | -$148 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $250 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$45 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $175 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$30 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $199 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $199 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $199 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $193 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $197 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $198 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $198 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$2 |
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $194 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $282 | 9.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$87 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $191 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$7 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $190 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $182 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $178 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $76 | 38¢ | 85¢ | +$94 |
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $167 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?Culture | No | $180 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$36 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $142 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $220 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$85 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $127 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Tech | No | $63 | 63¢ | 87¢ | +$24 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 22¢ | 15¢ | -$34 |
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $69 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $315 | 63¢ | 13¢ | -$250 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | No | $40 | 57¢ | 92¢ | +$25 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $68 | 2.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$6 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboOther sports | Yes | $166 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | -$107 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $54 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 2.9¢ | +$43 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $37 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 26¢ | +$33 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | +$25 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 1.4¢ | +$24 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 1.4¢ | +$22 |
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$20 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 26¢ | 72¢ | +$13 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 6.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$42 |
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$17 |
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | +$16 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ | +$15 |
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$15 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.9¢ | +$14 |
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$15 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.9¢ | +$14 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ | +$12 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ | +$12 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.7¢ | +$11 |
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $14 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $10 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $214 | 16¢ | 0.8¢ | -$204 |
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.0¢ | +$9 |
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 1.3¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$6 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $127 | 14¢ | 0.7¢ | -$120 |
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | +$6 |
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$6 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $6 | 75¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | +$4 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 81¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $48 | 24¢ | 1.8¢ | -$45 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPolitics | Something | $129 | 16¢ | 0.4¢ | -$126 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $72 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the Financial Times Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $444 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$444 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $16 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will MrBeast say "Survive" or "Survives" during his next video?Mentions | NoResolved | $56 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 6 ET?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $797 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$797 |
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $490 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$490 |