arbokbro

Predicting since May 2026106 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Politics	Yes	$25	20¢	7.0¢	-$16
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	Yes	$43	1.8¢	0.4¢	-$35
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	4.2¢	3.0¢	-$3
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	Yes	$6	0.7¢	0.5¢	-$1
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1	Yes	$19	10¢	1.1¢	-$17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$8	19¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics	NoResolved	$1	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$4	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	31¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?Mentions	NoResolved	$8	13¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$9	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?Mentions	YesResolved	$8	18¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Trump say "Beer" this week?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	15¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?Weather	NoResolved	$2	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$6	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?Mentions	NoResolved	$7	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$330

Economy+$98

Politics+$96

Tech-$79

Mentions-$46

Formula 1-$17

Finance-$14

Weather-$12

World Cup+$1

Biggest hit

+$328

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?

Toughest beat

-$22

Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?$012d ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA?$81mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?$81mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA?$51mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?$131mo ago
Bought Yes · Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$81mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA?$81mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?$41mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$31mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?$71mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?$101mo ago