Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $170 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$5 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $155 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 62¢ | 87¢ | +$40 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $188 | 75¢ | 37¢ | -$97 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $93 | 81¢ | 74¢ | -$8 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $75 | 76¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $14 | 8.5¢ | 36¢ | +$46 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$6 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $47 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$14 |
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $25 | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $14 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$4 |
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 51¢ | 62¢ | +$3 |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $17 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $13 | 43¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 64¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $14 | 6.8¢ | 5.8¢ | -$2 |
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $19 | 18¢ | 10¢ | -$8 |
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 22¢ | 10¢ | -$11 |
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $8 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $36 | 15¢ | 3.5¢ | -$28 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | Yes | $42 | 6.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$34 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 31¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?Politics | Yes | $8 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.0¢ | 3.4¢ | -$1 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.4¢ | 2.9¢ | -$4 |
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 10¢ | 2.5¢ | -$8 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | Yes | $24 | 3.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$22 |
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $17 | 39¢ | 3.7¢ | -$15 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | Yes | $9 | 48¢ | 7.5¢ | -$7 |
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $11 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $65 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $18 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $198 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $23 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Kai or Speed die to a spider?Culture | NoResolved | $32 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | NoResolved | $16 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | NoResolved | $14 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |