Bertastan

Predicting since Apr 202580 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $29K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $1.2K riding on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$18K on Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$300	30¢	18¢	-$125
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	60¢	8.5¢	-$1.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$500	59¢	11¢	-$411
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics	Yes	$403	36¢	6.5¢	-$331
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$200	23¢	0.0¢	-$200
US recession in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$40	58¢	0.0¢	-$40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1000	70¢	0.0¢	-$1000
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Politics	YesResolved	$100	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
Iran leadership change by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	35¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$350	39¢	0.0¢	-$350
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$300	36¢	0.0¢	-$300
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$40	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$50	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	17¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$300	17¢	0.0¢	-$300
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	16¢	0.0¢	-$100
Iran leadership change by March 13?Politics	YesResolved	$30	14¢	0.0¢	-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$29K

Crypto-$3.9K

Mentions+$430

Economy+$134

Other-$76

Biggest hit

+$18K

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Toughest beat

-$3.2K

US military action against Iran before July?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$51012d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6761mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$6621mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$5101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5061mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$401mo ago
Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1494mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3004mo ago
Sold Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$74mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$504mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$504mo ago
Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.6K4mo ago