← Whale Watch

42021

Predicting since Jun 20255,205 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.2K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $698 across 7 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on US strikes Nigeria by December 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$30346¢44¢-$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$21757¢57¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?CultureNo$15297¢99¢+$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$14842¢43¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$14026¢27¢+$3
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?CultureNo$13093¢99¢+$9
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsYes$19516¢11¢-$60
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12642¢44¢+$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$12642¢43¢+$1
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?PoliticsNo$27024¢11¢-$154
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$10155¢57¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?WeatherYes$8844¢47¢+$6
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$5811¢17¢+$32
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$8272¢76¢+$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$8546¢43¢-$6
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$8713¢12¢-$9
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$6723¢23¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$6795¢98¢+$2
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$6923¢21¢-$7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechNo$7412¢9.5¢-$15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$6130¢28¢-$3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?WeatherYes$3662¢100¢+$22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$7619¢14¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$5370¢73¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3464¢100¢+$19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$4555¢57¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3268¢100¢+$15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4856¢49¢-$6
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2355¢100¢+$18
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?PoliticsNo$3973¢75¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$4257¢52¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2713¢19¢+$11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7926¢13¢-$41
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?EconomyYes$810¢48¢+$29
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$5318¢12¢-$18
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3940¢34¢-$5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5MLBOver$3442¢42¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3074¢81¢+$3
Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next?NFLNo$3299¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?PoliticsYes$4515¢11¢-$14
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureYes$12644¢11¢-$96
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$6622¢10¢-$36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on July 26?WeatherNo$2391¢100¢+$2
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$2670¢66¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2025¢28¢+$2
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?PoliticsYes$2717¢14¢-$6
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$3913¢7.1¢-$18
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?FinanceNo$1750¢64¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 26?WeatherNo$1151¢100¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 26?WeatherYes$947¢97¢+$9
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$144.7¢5.8¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1360¢74¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1554¢52¢-$1
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$3912¢4.5¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26?WeatherYes$326¢100¢+$10
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?PoliticsYes$3324¢9.5¢-$20
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?PoliticsYes$7715¢2.6¢-$64
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1530¢26¢-$2
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$18771¢4.4¢-$175
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$93.3¢3.6¢+$1
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?PoliticsYes$825¢26¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$714¢16¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$779¢89¢+$1
Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?Other sportsYes$1020¢13¢-$4
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?CryptoYes$74.6¢3.9¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 27?WeatherYes$94.0¢2.5¢-$3
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$483.9¢0.4¢-$43
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$76.0¢4.5¢-$2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?NFLYes$30.7¢1.1¢+$2
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$165.3¢1.5¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 26?WeatherYes$3024¢3.5¢-$26
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$342.8¢0.4¢-$30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$141.1¢0.4¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 27?WeatherYes$46.0¢6.5¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?NFLYes$11.3¢4.6¢+$3
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$485¢83¢-$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsYes$32.1¢2.1¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 26?WeatherNo$269¢100¢+$1
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$416¢14¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 26?WeatherNo$4753¢3.5¢-$44
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$131.1¢0.3¢-$10
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?CryptoYes$21.0¢1.6¢+$1
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?PoliticsYes$519¢12¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 27?WeatherYes$246¢52¢+$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$321¢14¢-$1
Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsYes$52.4¢0.9¢-$3
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?PoliticsYes$223¢20¢-$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?NFLYes$135.1¢0.7¢-$11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$174¢72¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?WeatherNo$151¢53¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?NFLYes$103.4¢0.4¢-$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.2K
La Liga+$2.3K
Soccer (other)+$1.7K
Culture+$1.4K
Champions League-$1.4K
MLB-$746
NFL+$695
Cricket+$584
NHL+$526
Finance-$473
Mentions+$458
Tech-$436
Biggest hit
+$1.2K
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$702
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$01m ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$03m ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$28m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$2419m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$1619m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$619m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$6719m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1634m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$235m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$236m ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$236m ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$040m ago