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UmbuzeirodoSertao

Predicting since May 202670 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$17919¢16¢-$26
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsYes$60.2¢2.3¢+$62
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8512¢9.4¢-$18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5674¢82¢+$6
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?EconomyYes$3034¢37¢+$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3961¢42¢-$12
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$2018¢21¢+$3
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsNo$5814¢4.0¢-$41
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?PoliticsYes$737¢52¢+$3
Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$62.8¢2.3¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$439¢39¢-$0
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$131.7¢0.4¢-$10
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsYes$11.2¢1.5¢+$0
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$108.9¢1.3¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$187¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$270¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$264¢0.0¢-$2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$36.5¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$425¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy-$14
Politics+$13
Crypto+$8
World Cup-$5
Biggest hit
+$37
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$3
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$47h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?$020h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$421h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$82d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$152d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$222d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$202d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$32d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$23d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$34d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$24d ago