← Whale Watch

SplendidAmadeus

Predicting since Mar 20241,598 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $20K on Premier League markets since Mar 2024.

Right now: $23K riding on Tour De France 2026: Winner.

Biggest hit: +$3.2K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$23K94¢100¢+$1.5K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$18K94¢94¢-$60
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14K94¢84¢-$1.5K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$12K97¢99¢+$259
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.2K83¢80¢-$199
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$59870¢100¢+$252
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$51168¢0.0¢-$511
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5World CupUnderResolved$7.9K87¢0.0¢-$7.9K
Liege: Sandro Kopp vs Manoj Dhamne ManasTennisSandro KoppResolved$1.6K49¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$142.0¢0.0¢-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffTennisJan-Lennard StruffResolved$846.9¢0.0¢-$84
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$16715¢0.0¢-$167
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$319.0¢0.0¢-$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.0K80¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra EalaTennisAlexandra EalaResolved$65520¢0.0¢-$655

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Premier League-$20K
Politics-$12K
Crypto+$9.8K
World Cup-$9.1K
Other sports+$4.5K
NFL-$3.6K
Champions League-$2.4K
Tennis-$2.0K
Culture+$1.8K
Boxing+$1.6K
Tech+$1.6K
La Liga-$988
Biggest hit
+$3.2K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$15K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$593h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$283h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$243h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$313h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$313h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$313h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$4013h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$16615h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$451d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$21d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2791d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$21d ago