yarw

Predicting since Jul 2026134 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$20	41¢	85¢	+$22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$18	65¢	76¢	+$3
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$18	28¢	21¢	-$5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$12	20¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	19¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$12	22¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$2	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 980m by August 31?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	9.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$8	17¢	0.0¢	-$8
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$4	30¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$3	14¢	0.0¢	-$3
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$7	24¢	0.0¢	-$7
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$4	22¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$212

Culture-$23

Mentions-$15

Crypto-$13

World Cup-$10

Politics-$7

NFL+$6

Finance+$4

Other-$3

Soccer (other)-$2

UFC / MMA-$2

Economy+$0

Biggest hit

+$91

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$14

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?$15d ago
Sold No · Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?$15d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?$35d ago
Sold No · Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?$35d ago
Bought No · SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?$38d ago
Bought No · Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?$18d ago
Bought No · Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?$18d ago
Bought No · Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?$19d ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$69d ago
Bought No · Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?$29d ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$09d ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$19d ago