← Whale Watch

crabsoup

Predicting since May 202577 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$953¢0.0¢-$9
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?TechNoResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$1128¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi PM events on November 18?MentionsNoResolved$1449¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3144¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3314¢0.0¢-$33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?PoliticsNoResolved$664¢0.0¢-$6
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?TechYesResolved$5858¢0.0¢-$58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$710.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$10170¢0.0¢-$101
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$65.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?TechYesResolved$812¢0.0¢-$8
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSportsMVK EsportsResolved$828¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1311¢0.0¢-$13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsDeep Cross GamingResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?PoliticsNoResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1136¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1125¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.5¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$581
eSports+$280
Tech-$64
Mentions+$39
Other sports+$24
Crypto+$24
Culture-$22
Soccer (other)-$22
World Cup-$20
Economy-$14
Biggest hit
+$540
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$62
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3005mo ago
  • Sold No · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$7425mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$6825mo ago
  • Sold No · March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$2625mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$305mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.0K5mo ago
  • Cashed out KT Rolster · LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$505mo ago
  • Bought No · March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$1275mo ago
  • Bought No · March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$1345mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$305mo ago
  • Bought KT Rolster · LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$85mo ago
  • Bought KT Rolster · LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$155mo ago