crabsoup

Predicting since May 202577 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$9	53¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech	NoResolved	$7	14¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Politics	YesResolved	$11	28¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	54¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Mentions	NoResolved	$14	49¢	0.0¢	-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$31	44¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$33	14¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?Politics	NoResolved	$6	64¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Tech	YesResolved	$58	58¢	0.0¢	-$58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$7	10¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$101	70¢	0.0¢	-$101
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Tech	YesResolved	$8	12¢	0.0¢	-$8
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports	MVK EsportsResolved	$8	28¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$13	11¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$26	26¢	0.0¢	-$26
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports	Deep Cross GamingResolved	$3	13¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?Politics	NoResolved	$4	36¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$3	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$11	36¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$11	25¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$581

eSports+$280

Tech-$64

Mentions+$39

Other sports+$24

Crypto+$24

Culture-$22

Soccer (other)-$22

World Cup-$20

Economy-$14

Biggest hit

+$540

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$62

Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3007mo ago
Sold No · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$7427mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$6827mo ago
Sold No · March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$2627mo ago
Sold Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$307mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.0K7mo ago
Cashed out KT Rolster · LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$507mo ago
Bought No · March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$1277mo ago
Bought No · March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$1347mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$307mo ago
Bought KT Rolster · LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$87mo ago
Bought KT Rolster · LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$157mo ago