BTCBear1

Predicting since Aug 2024106 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$475	9.2¢	0.0¢	-$475
Will Trump say "Caribbean" during Honduran President events?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	64¢	0.0¢	-$5
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$15	69¢	0.0¢	-$15
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Crypto	ETHResolved	$61	51¢	0.0¢	-$61
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Economy	YesResolved	$10	64¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Friend" during Honduran President events?Mentions	YesResolved	$20	78¢	0.0¢	-$20
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?Crypto	YesResolved	$69	42¢	0.0¢	-$69
Utah vs. OilersNHL	UtahResolved	$46	43¢	0.0¢	-$46
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$25	84¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump say "China" during Honduran President events?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	49¢	0.0¢	-$5
Magic vs. 76ersNBA	MagicResolved	$35	63¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Crypto	YesResolved	$25	28¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$25	74¢	0.0¢	-$25
Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?Crypto	UpResolved	$5	45¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?Politics	YesResolved	$33	11¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$50	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	9.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$5	40¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Ethereum all time high by December 31?Crypto	YesResolved	$15	32¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Politics	NoResolved	$10	16¢	0.0¢	-$10
Utah vs. SabresNHL	SabresResolved	$5	45¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$50	47¢	0.0¢	-$50
MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 14-20?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	10¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$47	56¢	0.0¢	-$47
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$5	45¢	0.0¢	-$5
Hornets vs. HeatNBA	HornetsResolved	$25	37¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$5	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Giants vs. BroncosNFL	GiantsResolved	$10	26¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$374

Crypto-$316

Mentions-$307

Politics+$239

Premier League-$100

Economy-$82

NBA-$60

NHL+$41

Basketball (other)+$17

Other-$10

NFL+$9

Other sports-$8

Biggest hit

+$732

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 27?

Toughest beat

-$369

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Caribbean" during Honduran President events?$57mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "China" during Honduran President events?$57mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Friend" during Honduran President events?$207mo ago
Cashed out No · Cardano ETF in 2025?$197mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1010mo ago
Sold No · Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1010mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$510mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$310mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will DraftKings say "iGaming" during earnings call?$1010mo ago
Bought ETH · First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$5010mo ago
Bought Yes · Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1010mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$2510mo ago