Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $40 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics | No | $24 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $19 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 58¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $17 | 46¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $17 | 92¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $14 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?Finance | No | $13 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $13 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 38¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?Finance | No | $9 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $12 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?Finance | No | $9 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $12 | 68¢ | 47¢ | -$4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $7 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | No | $5 | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $7 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $7 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $11 | 69¢ | 37¢ | -$5 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 67¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?MLB | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $5 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 28¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $8 | 88¢ | 49¢ | -$4 |
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $4 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | No | $4 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?Finance | No | $4 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?Finance | No | $4 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Finance | No | $4 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $4 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 81¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $3 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $3 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Finance | No | $3 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $3 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 81¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |