← Whale Watch

stefangod

Predicting since Sep 2025786 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$4086¢88¢+$1
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$2451¢50¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$2078¢88¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1985¢82¢-$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1538¢43¢+$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1058¢92¢+$6
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1746¢45¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1787¢83¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1792¢79¢-$3
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1484¢87¢+$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?FinanceNo$1393¢100¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$1383¢88¢+$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1190¢91¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1038¢42¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$1091¢92¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$1096¢97¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1083¢85¢+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?PoliticsYes$1146¢44¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$986¢95¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$966¢69¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$1095¢92¢-$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?FinanceNo$997¢100¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$670¢99¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1218¢14¢-$3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$990¢90¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$1091¢84¢-$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$987¢88¢+$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?FinanceNo$997¢97¢-$0
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$981¢76¢-$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$832¢33¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1268¢47¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$887¢92¢+$0
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$896¢98¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$878¢80¢+$0
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$779¢83¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$570¢99¢+$2
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$792¢94¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$789¢89¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$663¢69¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$695¢99¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$780¢75¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1169¢37¢-$5
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$693¢97¢+$0
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$692¢96¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$690¢96¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$718¢14¢-$1
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$567¢85¢+$1
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$597¢99¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$671¢69¢-$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$657¢56¢-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$560¢63¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$514¢17¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$570¢73¢+$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$593¢94¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$596¢95¢-$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$585¢82¢-$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$582¢81¢-$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$589¢94¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$590¢94¢+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$428¢38¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1014¢6.5¢-$5
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$477¢88¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$484¢87¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$483¢95¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$888¢49¢-$4
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$497¢97¢-$0
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?TechYes$455¢68¢+$1
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$450¢50¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$822¢13¢-$3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$491¢92¢+$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$495¢95¢-$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$469¢68¢-$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?FinanceNo$487¢98¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$485¢96¢+$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?FinanceNo$497¢99¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$524¢20¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$484¢87¢+$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$389¢94¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceNo$490¢87¢-$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$475¢71¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$413¢12¢-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$489¢77¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$423¢18¢-$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$350¢57¢+$0
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?PoliticsYes$481¢72¢-$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$474¢58¢-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$389¢87¢-$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$392¢96¢+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$219¢28¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$391¢99¢+$0
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$383¢81¢-$0
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$389¢94¢+$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$357¢56¢-$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$484¢70¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$396¢100¢+$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$393¢96¢+$0
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$394¢97¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$276¢95¢+$1
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$386¢79¢-$0
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$381¢75¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$278
Politics-$90
World Cup-$84
eSports+$82
MLB-$47
Finance-$39
Economy-$24
Other-$21
Weather+$15
Tech+$9
UFC / MMA-$8
Mentions+$5
Biggest hit
+$97
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Toughest beat
-$145
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31h ago
  • Bought No · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$38h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$38h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$319h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$419h ago
  • Cashed out Magomed Zaynukov · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)$619h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$420h ago
  • Cashed out Muhammad Said · UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$520h ago
  • Bought Magomed Zaynukov · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)$41d ago
  • Bought Muhammad Said · UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$21d ago