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abracadabr

Predicting since Feb 2025109 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $68K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $17K across 4 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.1K93¢94¢+$22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.0K82¢49¢-$1.6K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$3.7K92¢51¢-$1.6K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.0K29¢21¢-$595
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1.9K64¢36¢-$812
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1.7K45¢4.2¢-$1.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$14023¢16¢-$47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$2088.0¢0.7¢-$191
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$8.9K87¢0.0¢-$8.9K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$72036¢0.0¢-$720
Will Portugal win the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5096.0¢0.0¢-$509
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$16K9.2¢0.0¢-$16K
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1624¢0.0¢-$16
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3483.7¢0.0¢-$348
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$20141¢0.0¢-$201
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$4.2K70¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$18518¢0.0¢-$185
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1085.4¢0.0¢-$108
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMoroccoResolved$20323¢0.0¢-$203
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1.5K43¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1800.9¢0.0¢-$180
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6528¢0.0¢-$65

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$68K
World Cup-$30K
Culture+$1.5K
Soccer (other)-$1.0K
Crypto+$489
Boxing-$189
Tech+$38
NFL+$2
La Liga+$1
Biggest hit
+$15K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$234
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$1742h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$9304h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$935h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$368h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$18611h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$017h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$1517h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$18018h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$120h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$320h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$421h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$521h ago