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conotocaurius

Predicting since Feb 2026254 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $30K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $13K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.9K on Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$9.6K77¢81¢+$452
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.6K88¢84¢-$513
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.7K93¢94¢+$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K89¢85¢-$101
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K74¢85¢+$188
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsYes$87820¢34¢+$581
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K97¢98¢+$16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$1.5K9.8¢6.7¢-$476
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$65271¢90¢+$164
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$37193¢95¢+$9
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$33197¢99¢+$4
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?PoliticsYes$8937¢33¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$1545.5¢2.7¢-$78
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$5293¢100¢+$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceYes$1183.3¢1.3¢-$74
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$440.2¢0.0¢-$44
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K88¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$80.2¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$30K
World Cup-$9.5K
Finance+$1.7K
Other sports-$837
Cricket+$189
Premier League+$38
Other+$1
Tech+$0
Biggest hit
+$9.9K
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Toughest beat
-$6.1K
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$5414h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$2414h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?$79118h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$3518h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$1921h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$1921h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$221h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$1521h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$2421h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$523h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$623h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$1123h ago