← Whale Watch

bigbrainchad

Predicting since Jan 20264,331 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.3K on eSports markets since Jan 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$8391¢96¢+$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7491¢92¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$6084¢97¢+$10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6179¢82¢+$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$2840¢66¢+$18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3472¢81¢+$4
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$3099¢100¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1762¢94¢+$9
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$2084¢100¢+$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1224¢44¢+$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$167.5¢8.5¢+$2
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1793¢98¢+$1
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$1599¢99¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1067¢100¢+$5
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$1068¢68¢-$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBANo$989¢100¢+$1
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?PoliticsNo$987¢92¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$840¢46¢+$1
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?PoliticsNo$664¢89¢+$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$876¢83¢+$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$884¢82¢-$0
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$882¢81¢-$0
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$642¢42¢-$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$554¢62¢+$1
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?PoliticsNo$5100¢100¢+$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$569¢71¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$515¢14¢-$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$480¢82¢+$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$471¢73¢+$0
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$472¢71¢-$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$365¢69¢+$0
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$216¢25¢+$1
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$349¢61¢+$1
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$446¢39¢-$1
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$20.2¢0.3¢+$1
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $60B?FinanceNo$480¢56¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$361¢55¢-$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$267¢73¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$243¢41¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$134¢61¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$164¢89¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$330¢16¢-$1
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$128¢32¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$352¢31¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$162¢99¢+$1
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$118¢21¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$151¢96¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$543¢12¢-$4
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$122¢17¢-$0
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$11.2¢1.4¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBAYes$69.8¢1.8¢-$5
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12.0¢2.1¢+$0
ITF Rabat: Florian Broska vs Reda BennaniTennisFlorian BroskaResolved$867¢0.0¢-$8
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group BeSportsHabibisResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Other sportsUnderResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffseSportsSaD EsportsResolved$428¢0.0¢-$4
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June PlayoffseSportsRED Canids AcademyResolved$3312¢0.0¢-$33
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Tommy PaulTennisSoon-Woo KwonResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier PlayoffseSportsregainResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
BNB Up or Down - July 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 WinnereSportsHabibisResolved$15347¢0.0¢-$153
Ali Habib vs. Alexander Frusina: Total Sets O/U 2.5TennisOver 2.5Resolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnereSportsMAGICOSResolved$1733¢0.0¢-$17
Will Chicago Stars FC vs. Utah Royals FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
ITF Store: Michael Gloeckler vs Aleksandr BrayninTennisMichael GloecklerResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 1 WinnereSportsNightblood GamingResolved$1429¢0.0¢-$14
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnereSportsMETANOIA WOLVESResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Bohemian FC vs. St Joseph's FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Other sportsToronto TempoResolved$1363¢0.0¢-$13
ITF Aschaffenburg: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Eva BennemannTennisEva BennemannResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersWorld CupUnderResolved$14448¢0.0¢-$144
ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Felipe De Dios vs Aditya Vishal BalsekarTennisAditya Vishal BalsekarResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$1161¢0.0¢-$11
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Other sportsUnderResolved$5056¢0.0¢-$50
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs WBT - Map 2 WinnereSportsex-MANA eSportsResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Set 1 Winner: Draxl vs ArseneaultTennisArseneaultResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2535¢0.0¢-$25
ITF Monastir: Francesca Dell'edera vs Nada FouadTennisFrancesca DellederaResolved$15.5¢0.0¢-$1
Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$482¢0.0¢-$4
Jorge vs. Inoue: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5TennisUnderResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5MLBOverResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs BurelTennisBurelResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de JongeTennisDaniel de JongeResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Garbero vs. Merwe: Match O/U 22.5TennisUnderResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Set 2 Winner: Galfi vs PerssonTennisGalfiResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Gloriana Nahum vs Misa MalkinTennisGloriana NahumResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs MertensTennisMertensResolved$639¢0.0¢-$6
Set 2 Winner: Mena vs ClaverieTennisMenaResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CeSportsDonstu EsportsResolved$25849¢0.0¢-$258
ITF Don Benito: Iveta Dapkute vs Meritxell Teixido GarciaTennisIveta DapkuteResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
ITF Rabat: Eero Vasa vs Yassine SmiejTennisYassine SmiejResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 WinnereSportsBALUResolved$2124¢0.0¢-$21
ITF Dallas: Mees Rottgering vs Billy SuarezTennisBilly SuarezResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
ITF The Hague: Jakub Nicod vs Taym Al AzmehTennisTaym Al AzmehResolved$28.7¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group BeSportsLEOResolved$8615¢0.0¢-$86
Dota 2: Invision vs summer bear - Game 2 WinnereSportsInvisionResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

eSports-$3.3K
Tennis-$3.1K
World Cup-$2.5K
Crypto-$1.1K
Soccer (other)-$918
MLB-$686
Cricket-$402
Other sports-$227
Basketball (other)-$207
Champions League-$67
Baseball (other)-$56
Politics+$50
Biggest hit
+$72
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Toughest beat
-$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$01h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$01h ago
  • Bought No · Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$52h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$13h ago
  • Cashed out Up · BNB Up or Down - July 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$03h ago
  • Cashed out Up · BNB Up or Down - July 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$03h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$993h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$03h ago