← Whale Watch

theskybeneath

Predicting since Oct 2025317 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.2K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $829 riding on US government shutdown Saturday?.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Spread: James Madison (-7.5)Other sportsTexas StateResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?CryptoYesResolved$102.0¢0.0¢-$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$70.2¢0.0¢-$7
Grizzlies vs. SunsNBASunsResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 238.5NBAOverResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$349.1¢0.0¢-$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1015.0¢0.0¢-$101
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$170.7¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)NBAClippersResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$8290.5¢0.0¢-$829
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin VacherotTennisRinderknechResolved$176¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$190.3¢0.0¢-$19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$310.3¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1920.2¢0.0¢-$192
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$804.7¢0.0¢-$80
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$280.8¢0.0¢-$28
Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 240.5NBAUnderResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1721.7¢0.0¢-$172
Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 241.5NBAUnderResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?PoliticsNoResolved$1511¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$930.6¢0.0¢-$93
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$216.2¢0.0¢-$21
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 160.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$595¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$80.4¢0.0¢-$8
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5NBAUnderResolved$258¢0.0¢-$2
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5NBAUnderResolved$5165¢0.0¢-$51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$550.2¢0.0¢-$55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 29?CryptoYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$91.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$220.9¢0.0¢-$22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$350.2¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$745.3¢0.0¢-$74
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm HunterTennisHontamaResolved$883¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$230.8¢0.0¢-$23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$690.2¢0.0¢-$69
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5NBAUnderResolved$447¢0.0¢-$4
Cavaliers vs. CelticsNBACavaliersResolved$260¢0.0¢-$2
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5NBAOverResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)NBAKnicksResolved$452¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$852.8¢0.0¢-$85
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)NBARaptorsResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Furman Paladins (-5.5)Basketball (other)Furman PaladinsResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryPoliticsYesResolved$60.9¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)NBAGrizzliesResolved$1243¢0.0¢-$12
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$252¢0.0¢-$2
Blue Jackets vs. BlackhawksNHLBlackhawksResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?PoliticsYesResolved$46.0¢0.0¢-$4
Clippers vs. NuggetsNBAClippersResolved$1063¢0.0¢-$10
Red Wings vs. Blues: O/U 5.5NHLUnderResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)NBAWizardsResolved$650¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-12.5)Basketball (other)Georgia Southern EaglesResolved$1993¢0.0¢-$19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$480.2¢0.0¢-$48
Rockets vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5NBAUnderResolved$447¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$721.0¢0.0¢-$72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8611¢0.0¢-$86
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$78.5¢0.0¢-$7
Spread: Heat (-5.5)NBAHornetsResolved$255¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)NBAKingsResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$870.5¢0.0¢-$87
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$253.6¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)NBAWizardsResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1940.3¢0.0¢-$194
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1811¢0.0¢-$18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1441.0¢0.0¢-$144
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionPoliticsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$161.7¢0.0¢-$16
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Chennai Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia BronzettiTennisBronzettiResolved$380¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15015¢0.0¢-$150
Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5NBAUnderResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$231.2¢0.0¢-$23
Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5NBAUnderResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$1446¢0.0¢-$14
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)NBAClippersResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1410.3¢0.0¢-$141
Spread: Kennesaw State (-10.5)Other sportsUTEPResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$72.7¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$300.4¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$385.9¢0.0¢-$38
Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 239.5NBAUnderResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 237.5NBAOverResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$630.5¢0.0¢-$63
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$370.3¢0.0¢-$37
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)NBAGrizzliesResolved$4750¢0.0¢-$47
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5NBAOverResolved$1244¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$444.1¢0.0¢-$44
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5NBAOverResolved$263¢0.0¢-$2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Rider Broncs vs. Manhattan JaspersBasketball (other)Rider BroncsResolved$729¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.2K
Crypto-$966
NFL+$406
NBA-$164
Finance-$80
Basketball (other)-$25
Tech-$7
Tennis-$6
NHL+$3
Economy+$3
Other sports+$1
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
US government shutdown Saturday?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?$15mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$35mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$05mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$485mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$55mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$15mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$6115mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out Over · Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5$35mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$35mo ago