Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $85 | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$42 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | Yes | $15 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $32 | 47¢ | 8.5¢ | -$26 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $70 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 15?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?Champions League | NoResolved | $10 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
D4vd arrested by December 31?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Seahawks vs. PatriotsNFL | PatriotsResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Premier League | OverResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $36 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $44 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |