johnnyA

Predicting since Jul 2024773 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $19K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $8.0K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on US bank failure by January 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$5.3K	95¢	98¢	+$163
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$4.5K	82¢	92¢	+$501
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics	No	$2.6K	98¢	99¢	+$17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2.5K	49¢	43¢	-$347
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2.0K	90¢	90¢	-$4
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics	No	$1.6K	95¢	99¢	+$67
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics	No	$1.2K	86¢	94¢	+$119
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather	No	$1.2K	90¢	93¢	+$43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$1.3K	81¢	77¢	-$60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics	No	$1.2K	90¢	91¢	+$6
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather	No	$840	72¢	95¢	+$268
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics	No	$926	87¢	96¢	+$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$950	83¢	80¢	-$36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics	No	$683	91¢	87¢	-$30
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics	No	$597	94¢	95¢	+$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	No	$475	95¢	97¢	+$10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics	No	$475	95¢	95¢	-$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$507	51¢	41¢	-$102
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics	Yes	$385	31¢	30¢	-$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$258	86¢	98¢	+$36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Politics	No	$156	95¢	97¢	+$4
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics	No	$149	95¢	98¢	+$4
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics	Yes	$196	6.5¢	5.0¢	-$46
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB	Yes	$79	54¢	98¢	+$65
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$205	46¢	21¢	-$113
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Other	No	$86	92¢	95¢	+$2
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$68	75¢	95¢	+$18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$72	24¢	18¢	-$17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$80	9.0¢	5.7¢	-$30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$49	54¢	51¢	-$3
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics	Yes	$96	17¢	7.5¢	-$54
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$36	2.9¢	2.4¢	-$6
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB	No	$18	91¢	96¢	+$1
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$9	46¢	13¢	-$7
UC Davis vs. SMUOther sports	UC Davis	$5	5.0¢	2.4¢	-$3
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$8	1.6¢	0.3¢	-$7
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Politics	No	$0	33¢	95¢	+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$69	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$69

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$19K

Culture+$2.9K

Finance+$1.0K

Tech-$880

World Cup-$711

Economy+$686

MLB+$675

Crypto+$403

Mentions-$381

College Hoops-$326

Weather+$310

Other sports+$133

Biggest hit

+$1.3K

US bank failure by January 31?

Toughest beat

-$2.4K

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$33h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$303h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$463h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$663h ago
MERGE Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?$33210h ago
Bought Yes · Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?$1810h ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?$12010h ago
Sold No · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$8510h ago
Sold No · Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$5022h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$61d ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$1751d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?$2281d ago