← Whale Watch

rivermarkets

Predicting since Dec 2025274 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $61K on NBA markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $69K across 8 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$31K on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$7.1K37¢15¢-$4.2K
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$8774¢96¢+$26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$167.9¢28¢+$41
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$6515¢3.9¢-$48
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2113¢8.5¢-$7
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$74.3¢2.8¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$670.3¢0.0¢-$67
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLNoResolved$2.4K33¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?PoliticsYesResolved$123.3¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$2.2K22¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$7.9K8.7¢0.0¢-$7.9K
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?TechYesResolved$190.4¢0.0¢-$19
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)NBACavaliersResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$13K8.3¢0.0¢-$13K
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$151.7¢0.0¢-$15
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureYesResolved$42412¢0.0¢-$424
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$347.6¢0.0¢-$34
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$3.2K9.6¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureNoResolved$2085.6¢0.0¢-$208
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$30K15¢0.0¢-$30K
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$4.0K30¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$93.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)CultureYesResolved$61.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)CultureYesResolved$34.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$3.0K6.0¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$5978.1¢0.0¢-$597
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$49836¢0.0¢-$498
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$1311¢0.0¢-$13
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$18011¢0.0¢-$180
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureNoResolved$2914¢0.0¢-$29
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?College FootballYesResolved$153.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$370.3¢0.0¢-$37
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?NFLNoResolved$2.1K34¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Afghanistan vs West Indies (T20I): Afghanistan vs West IndiesCricketAfghanistanResolved$45977¢0.0¢-$459
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$48857¢0.0¢-$488
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$681¢0.0¢-$6
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueNoResolved$4.1K76¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$3196.3¢0.0¢-$319
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$11K95¢0.0¢-$11K
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$246.9¢0.0¢-$24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1158.7¢0.0¢-$115
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureNoResolved$2.6K71¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11825¢0.0¢-$118
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$7.6K27¢0.0¢-$7.6K
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$240.4¢0.0¢-$24
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$3812.0¢0.0¢-$381
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$71.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?PoliticsYesResolved$912.6¢0.0¢-$91
Will "The Rip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)CultureYesResolved$61.4¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)CultureYesResolved$111.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?College FootballYesResolved$28911¢0.0¢-$289
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)NoResolved$2.4K24¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?FinanceYesResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.1K8.6¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K17¢0.0¢-$3.6K
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$1414.9¢0.0¢-$141
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)CultureYesResolved$42116¢0.0¢-$421
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureYesResolved$114.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)CultureYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?PoliticsNoResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$54.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$30540¢0.0¢-$305
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$1.6K12¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)CultureYesResolved$110.4¢0.0¢-$11
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$310.7¢0.0¢-$31
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$3559.0¢0.0¢-$355
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)CultureYesResolved$37616¢0.0¢-$376
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureNoResolved$1248.1¢0.0¢-$124
Will Gainare Tottori win on 2026-04-05?Soccer (other)NoResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)CultureYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jacob Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?PoliticsYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1233¢0.0¢-$12
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)CultureNoResolved$18612¢0.0¢-$186
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$3891.3¢0.0¢-$389
Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$2607.7¢0.0¢-$260
Sabres vs. HurricanesNHLSabresResolved$041¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureYesResolved$688.6¢0.0¢-$68

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NBA-$61K
Politics-$29K
NFL+$19K
College Football+$17K
Premier League-$10K
Culture-$6.9K
NHL+$5.3K
Economy+$5.1K
Basketball (other)+$3.0K
World Cup-$2.9K
Soccer (other)+$2.9K
UFC / MMA+$2.1K
Biggest hit
+$31K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$708
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36K6d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$010d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$516d ago