 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | Yes | $7.8K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$269 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $6.9K | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$459 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3.4K | 38¢ | 55¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $2.5K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$36 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $2.5K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$6 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$60 |
 Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $2.1K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.0K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 1.6¢ | 1.8¢ | +$131 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$232 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $1.4K | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$144 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$62 |
 Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1.2K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | No | $1.2K | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$49 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$76 |
 Will Truist fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1.0K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$20 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $878 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$155 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $902 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $880 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $417 | 28¢ | 54¢ | +$385 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $611 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Politics | No | $522 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $477 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will Santander fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $467 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?Politics | No | $425 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $522 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$109 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $330 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$5 |
 Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $298 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $276 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$31 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $200 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $249 | 21¢ | 16¢ | -$58 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $206 | 69¢ | 64¢ | -$15 |
 Will BNY fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $172 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $147 | 46¢ | 49¢ | +$9 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $154 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $148 | 74¢ | 56¢ | -$36 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $103 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will RBC fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $106 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $94 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$5 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $90 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $69 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$16 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $76 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will BMO fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $76 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | +$6 |
 Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $45 | 10.0¢ | 16¢ | +$27 |
 Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | Yes | $52 | 52¢ | 59¢ | +$7 |
 Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 10¢ | 9.7¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $53 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | No | $45 | 46¢ | 52¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $50 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | No | $38 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $43 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 39¢ | +$6 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $39 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Finance | Yes | $35 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $30 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 0.6¢ | 1.1¢ | +$14 |
 Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $22 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | No | $20 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $19 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$4 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $26 | 51¢ | 30¢ | -$11 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$8 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $40 | 44¢ | 4.3¢ | -$36 |
| Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | No | $3 | 55¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $1 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $556 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$556 |