 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $9.6K | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7.9K | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$945 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$253 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$654 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$66 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3.8K | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$373 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $3.2K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$25 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$514 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $2.3K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$31 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $2.1K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$61 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | No | $2.2K | 74¢ | 66¢ | -$254 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$102 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $1.3K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1.2K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1.2K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $1.1K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$22 |
 Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1.0K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $972 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will Truist fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $834 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $868 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$49 |
 Lula participates in debate before first round?Politics | No | $638 | 51¢ | 65¢ | +$173 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics | Yes | $607 | 26¢ | 34¢ | +$181 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $776 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $606 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$2 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4.9K | 2.1¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4.3K |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $1.2K | 7.7¢ | 3.8¢ | -$596 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $536 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | Yes | $521 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $627 | 66¢ | 55¢ | -$111 |
 Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?Politics | Yes | $507 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Politics | No | $503 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $544 | 45¢ | 41¢ | -$49 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?Politics | Yes | $473 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Politics | Yes | $467 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Politics | Yes | $166 | 16¢ | 45¢ | +$302 |
 Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $463 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$2 |
 Will Santander fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $416 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | No | $380 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$22 |
 Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?Politics | Yes | $289 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$13 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Politics | Yes | $257 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Politics | No | $93 | 18¢ | 50¢ | +$159 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $310 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$62 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Politics | No | $201 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $177 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Politics | Yes | $169 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | No | $178 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$9 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $167 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $179 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$13 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?Politics | No | $160 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $86 | 36¢ | 66¢ | +$69 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?Politics | No | $156 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$5 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $140 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $131 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Politics | No | $136 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$8 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $108 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
 Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | Yes | $165 | 48¢ | 30¢ | -$61 |
 Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $98 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $184 | 32¢ | 16¢ | -$94 |
 Will BNY fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $86 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$7 |
 Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Politics | No | $76 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $77 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics | Yes | $72 | 39¢ | 42¢ | +$5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $67 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August?Economy | Yes | $63 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics | Yes | $67 | 67¢ | 59¢ | -$9 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Politics | No | $53 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $49 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Politics | Yes | $48 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will BMO fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $47 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Economy | Yes | $45 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $43 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $39 | 7.1¢ | 7.8¢ | +$4 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026?Politics | Yes | $61 | 4.7¢ | 3.2¢ | -$20 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?Politics | Yes | $38 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Politics | No | $32 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +$10 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Politics | Yes | $29 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 0.9¢ | 0.6¢ | -$16 |
 Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?Other | No | $26 | 95¢ | 89¢ | -$2 |
| Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?Other | No | $20 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will RBC fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $16 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $7 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Politics | Yes | $8 | 5.9¢ | 4.8¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?Economy | Yes | $2 | 2.0¢ | 3.6¢ | +$2 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |