← Whale Watch

0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900

Predicting since Jun 20261,384 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $132K on World Cup markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $6.0K across 4 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.8K98¢94¢-$168
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.4K95¢95¢-$13
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$1.1K56¢100¢+$881
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$1.8K90¢100¢+$202
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$2.0K98¢100¢+$38
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$1.4K58¢69¢+$272
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K72¢79¢+$146
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K91¢90¢-$28
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K74¢75¢+$8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K66¢76¢+$162
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$1.1K95¢100¢+$62
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsNo$96740¢46¢+$145
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$84850¢66¢+$254
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$94238¢37¢-$23
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$82563¢67¢+$50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$84695¢95¢-$7
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$66792¢99¢+$50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$62685¢86¢+$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$56031¢33¢+$20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$59849¢37¢-$142
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?WeatherYes$41194¢100¢+$28
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$35014¢17¢+$62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?WeatherNo$11932¢100¢+$254
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31095¢97¢+$7
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$7220¢88¢+$245
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$27372¢76¢+$17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?WeatherNo$26795¢100¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$20860¢68¢+$28
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$23591¢87¢-$10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2259.0¢8.5¢-$13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20059¢62¢+$11
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$18431¢34¢+$17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34221¢12¢-$143
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?PoliticsYes$19290¢87¢-$6
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$14664¢69¢+$11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$14677¢77¢-$2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$13673¢73¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$19419¢13¢-$59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14546¢38¢-$25
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$27460¢25¢-$162
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$10984¢79¢-$7
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$10527¢26¢-$4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$9775¢78¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?WeatherNo$8895¢100¢+$5
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$8774¢77¢+$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$9151¢50¢-$3
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$7031¢31¢-$1
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsYes$9446¢32¢-$30
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5598¢100¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$441.9¢2.4¢+$10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$4323¢28¢+$8
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$502.0¢1.8¢-$4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$3877¢83¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$503.5¢2.9¢-$9
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$3946¢45¢-$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4315¢12¢-$10
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$19713¢2.1¢-$164
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$3711¢9.3¢-$6
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$2274¢97¢+$7
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$6930¢13¢-$41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2377¢95¢+$5
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2377¢91¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?WeatherNo$2489¢100¢+$3
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1646¢56¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2215¢7.5¢-$11
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$752¢69¢+$2
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5717¢2.9¢-$48
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢93¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsYes$923¢23¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$236.4¢2.4¢-$15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$919¢17¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$795¢92¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$659¢56¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$537.3¢0.8¢-$47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$548¢44¢-$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$245¢76¢+$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$421¢18¢-$1
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$139.7¢2.1¢-$10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$245¢45¢+$0
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$33.5¢2.6¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$13.1¢6.2¢+$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$413¢5.5¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?WeatherNoResolved$323¢0.0¢-$3
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5World CupOverResolved$31.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?WeatherNoResolved$18049¢0.0¢-$180
Spread: Spain (-4.5)World CupSpainResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Spread: France (-4.5)World CupFranceResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Canada (-2.5)World CupCanadaResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World CupSpainResolved$603.0¢0.0¢-$60
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?WeatherNoResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$829¢0.0¢-$8
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?TechNoResolved$51.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?CultureNoResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5World CupOverResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5World CupOverResolved$1509.0¢0.0¢-$150
Spread: United States (-3.5)World CupUnited StatesResolved$148.2¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?WeatherNoResolved$89.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?eSportsNoResolved$6744¢0.0¢-$67

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup+$132K
Politics+$17K
Weather+$1.8K
Crypto-$1.3K
NBA+$978
MLB+$964
Tech-$726
Economy+$301
Culture+$157
eSports-$121
Golf+$108
Tennis+$0
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Toughest beat
-$6.6K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?$16m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$2867m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$610m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$610m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$1511m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$1611m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1812m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$215m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$1515m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$320m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$320m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?$925m ago