 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $2 | 9.9¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 2.4¢ | 1.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $2 | 6.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 12¢ | 7.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?Economy | No | $2 | 7.0¢ | 4.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Tele-Rallies?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 21 and 22 million views on day 2?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$06d ago