Halley01

Predicting since Mar 2026166 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $4.5K across 6 Economy markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy	No	$1.4K	98¢	97¢	-$21
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?Economy	No	$1.3K	99¢	98¢	-$7
Will UBS fail by end of 2026?Economy	No	$733	98¢	99¢	+$6
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?Economy	No	$589	98¢	97¢	-$8
Will Santander fail by end of 2026?Economy	No	$393	98¢	97¢	-$4
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?Economy	No	$109	99¢	98¢	-$1
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1000	97¢	0.0¢	-$1000
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$195	13¢	0.0¢	-$195
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$44	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$2.0K	98¢	0.0¢	-$2.0K
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Economy	YesResolved	$152	29¢	0.0¢	-$152
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Weather	YesResolved	$14	20¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$55	11¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World Cup	YesResolved	$767	82¢	0.0¢	-$767
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$78	13¢	0.0¢	-$78
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?World Cup	YesResolved	$456	76¢	0.0¢	-$456
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)World Cup	BrazilResolved	$8	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?Economy	YesResolved	$36	7.3¢	0.0¢	-$36
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1.0K	25¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?Economy	YesResolved	$37	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$37

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.1K

Economy+$2.0K

World Cup+$286

Weather+$78

Biggest hit

+$812

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Toughest beat

-$126

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?$391mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?$8042mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$942mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.9K2mo ago
Sold No · Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?$102mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$402mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$3072mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$6002mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$1602mo ago
Bought No · Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$2002mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?$8002mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will United States win on 2026-07-01?$2.1K2mo ago