← Whale Watch

casualInference

Predicting since Aug 202564 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?TechNo$487¢99¢+$1
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$481¢74¢-$0
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?FinanceNo$394¢98¢+$0
Will Trump say "Heart Attack" in July?MentionsNo$351¢56¢+$0
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyNo$282¢72¢-$0
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechNo$297¢100¢+$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?PoliticsNoResolved$658¢0.0¢-$6
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$471¢0.0¢-$4
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 67%-68%?TechNoResolved$578¢0.0¢-$5
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?EconomyNoResolved$374¢0.0¢-$3
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 5?WeatherNoResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$460¢0.0¢-$4
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$464¢0.0¢-$4
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$293¢0.0¢-$2
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?EconomyNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$384¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Eagle" in July?MentionsNoResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?MentionsNoResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?Premier LeagueYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?CultureNoResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 3?WeatherNoResolved$458¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?WeatherNoResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$17
Mentions-$6
Economy-$5
Weather+$5
Culture-$3
Finance-$3
Tech+$3
Premier League-$1
Formula 1+$0
World Cup+$0
Biggest hit
+$7
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Toughest beat
-$1
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will fewer than 75 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?$415d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$515d ago
  • Cashed out No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by June 30?$419d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 6?$319d ago
  • Cashed out No · S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on July 6?$319d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 6?$319d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Eagle" in July?$320d ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?$220d ago
  • Bought No · Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?$420d ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 5?$220d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?$520d ago
  • Bought No · Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$221d ago