laureman

Predicting since Sep 202623 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $18K riding on Crude Oil all time high by...?.

All-time PnL

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This year

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Last 30 days

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Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics	No	$18K	99¢	98¢	-$90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$6.8K	85¢	86¢	+$40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics	No	$5.6K	99¢	99¢	+$15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$5.4K	88¢	88¢	-$31
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?Politics	Yes	$3.6K	100¢	100¢	+$7
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics	Yes	$2.9K	97¢	97¢	-$18
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	No	$2.8K	98¢	98¢	+$5
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$2.5K	85¢	85¢	-$15
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics	Yes	$2.4K	99¢	100¢	+$18
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1.7K	84¢	84¢	+$0
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics	No	$1.4K	73¢	73¢	-$1
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics	No	$1.3K	86¢	87¢	+$8
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	100¢	100¢	-$1
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	83¢	82¢	-$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics	Yes	$1.1K	75¢	76¢	+$8
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Politics	Yes	$1.1K	99¢	100¢	+$10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics	No	$865	98¢	98¢	+$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$656	97¢	98¢	+$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics	Yes	$578	66¢	64¢	-$22
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$481	88¢	90¢	+$8
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$303	57¢	58¢	+$4
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics	No	$118	100¢	100¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$310

Tech-$15

Biggest hit

+$38

LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Toughest beat

-$272

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$2.9K6m ago
Sold Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$3.5K8m ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.2K26m ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8828m ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.7K1h ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1931h ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$2521h ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.2K1h ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1911h ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?$2261h ago
Bought Yes · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?$5041h ago
Bought Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?$1252h ago