Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $100 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$39 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 4.3¢ | -$8 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.5¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 49¢ | 8.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $220 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Nancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Netherlands win the 2025 IHF Women’s World Championship?Other sports | YesResolved | $56 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |