← Whale Watch

arbdiscovery

Predicting since May 2026134 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $844 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$79374¢82¢+$88
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$40117¢31¢+$346
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$70093¢95¢+$11
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$69683¢84¢+$8
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$47676¢85¢+$54
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$32954¢64¢+$60
Discord IPO before 2027?TechNo$24040¢65¢+$149
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$31772¢81¢+$40
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$29469¢81¢+$51
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?PoliticsYes$30953¢53¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?PoliticsYes$28591¢94¢+$9
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$27086¢92¢+$17
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$23063¢68¢+$17
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$10760¢87¢+$48
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$18333¢27¢-$31
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$10136¢49¢+$37
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$12688¢90¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$12331¢31¢-$2
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?PoliticsYes$10787¢96¢+$12
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?PoliticsNo$10488¢90¢+$2
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsNo$11475¢67¢-$13
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$9473¢78¢+$6
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$12184¢66¢-$27
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$9478¢78¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$9288¢88¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$9819¢17¢-$10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8455¢57¢+$3
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?PoliticsYes$8465¢66¢+$1
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsYes$567.8¢12¢+$27
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$8313¢12¢-$2
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$9955¢46¢-$18
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechNo$8082¢80¢-$2
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsNo$6181¢96¢+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$5540¢52¢+$16
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$5557¢73¢+$15
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$6647¢47¢-$0
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsNo$5377¢90¢+$9
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?PoliticsYes$5324¢28¢+$8
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$5368¢77¢+$6
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsYes$4420¢26¢+$14
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$5275¢82¢+$5
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?EconomyNo$5592¢94¢+$1
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?PoliticsNo$5080¢81¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$537.0¢6.5¢-$4
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2332¢66¢+$23
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?PoliticsYes$3740¢49¢+$9
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$5750¢34¢-$18
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$3252¢60¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$2724¢33¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$3411¢12¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$3115¢17¢+$3
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?PoliticsNo$2338¢55¢+$10
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$3520¢19¢-$3
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$2620¢24¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2650¢59¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$4017¢13¢-$10
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$2871¢73¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$2373¢77¢+$1
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$2079¢91¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$2134¢37¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$3213¢8.5¢-$11
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$1983¢91¢+$2
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsNo$1787¢98¢+$2
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?PoliticsYes$1787¢94¢+$1
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$1353¢73¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$165.9¢6.6¢+$2
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsNo$1257¢75¢+$4
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1030¢43¢+$4
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?CultureYes$64.1¢9.2¢+$8
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$1341¢41¢-$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$170.7¢0.4¢-$6
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$942¢52¢+$2
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1639¢27¢-$5
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$921¢25¢+$2
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$2166¢32¢-$11
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1080¢84¢+$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$880¢100¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?PoliticsNo$747¢65¢+$2
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?PoliticsNo$96.0¢5.0¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$770¢67¢-$0
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$635¢37¢+$0
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$437¢59¢+$2
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$839¢30¢-$2
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsNo$526¢32¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$570¢76¢+$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$44.0¢4.5¢+$1
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$117¢62¢+$4
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$482¢98¢+$1
Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureNo$488¢92¢+$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$412¢14¢+$1
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$477¢86¢+$0
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$215¢26¢+$2
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$1333¢10¢-$9
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$224¢38¢+$1
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1938¢7.0¢-$16
Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026?PoliticsNo$352¢69¢+$1
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?PoliticsNo$22.6¢5.5¢+$2
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$517¢12¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$32.8¢2.9¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$738
NFL+$689
Tech+$171
Economy-$51
Culture-$26
Weather-$1
Formula 1-$1
Crypto-$0
Biggest hit
+$885
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Toughest beat
-$80
Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$43h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$872d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?$1053d ago
  • Bought No · Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$473d ago
  • Bought No · Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?$814d ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?$254d ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?$1514d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$26d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?$67d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?$47d ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$27d ago