 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?Economy | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 68¢ | +$30 |
 Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics | No | $28 | 70¢ | 63¢ | -$3 |
 Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Politics | No | $18 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $40 | 29¢ | 14¢ | -$21 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?Politics | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $14 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?Politics | No | $19 | 29¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 29¢ | +$1 |
 Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $16 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Politics | Yes | $9 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on September 30?Economy | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 25-30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in September?Economy | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | No | $8 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 74¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election?Politics | No | $11 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?Economy | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Politics | No | $25 | 27¢ | 7.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Politics | No | $8 | 38¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will Taylor Hanson be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Culture | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
 Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $27 | 66¢ | 14¢ | -$21 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 9.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.6% in September?Economy | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
 Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $4 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E41?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
 Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?Politics | No | $16 | 18¢ | 5.4¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28?Mentions | No | $6 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Economy | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 26¢ | 8.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sonia Ziadé win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 19¢ | 9.3¢ | -$4 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ciara Miller be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Culture | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$0 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 17¢ | 5.8¢ | -$7 |
 Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 5.7¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mounu Uaisele win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 7.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 28¢ | 7.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Politics | No | $3 | 82¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?Economy | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will CentreBC win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $2 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Green candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 15¢ | 4.0¢ | -$6 |
 Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 2.4¢ | -$11 |
 Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 5.9¢ | -$4 |
 Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | Yes | $18 | 14¢ | 1.6¢ | -$16 |
 Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 4.9¢ | -$2 |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 4.8¢ | -$5 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?Economy | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?Politics | Yes | $13 | 19¢ | 2.7¢ | -$11 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?Economy | Yes | $28 | 26¢ | 1.6¢ | -$26 |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 3.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 1.5¢ | -$27 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Politics | Yes | $20 | 18¢ | 1.4¢ | -$18 |
 Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?eSports | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 2.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 4.6¢ | -$3 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?Economy | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 1.3¢ | -$32 |
 Will Atsushi Fukuyama win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 6.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Emmanuel Maurel finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 2.6¢ | -$6 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Economy | Yes | $36 | 31¢ | 0.9¢ | -$35 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $1 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will “Tears” by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will “New Religion” by Bebe Rexha and Faithless win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Scott Jennings give the next White House press briefing?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Mamdani’s announcement not air?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will “Drag Path” by Twenty One Pilots win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will AutoZone say "Same Store Sales" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 23?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Cashed out No · Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?$1411h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?$11311h ago
Cashed out No · Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?$203d ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026?$14d ago