ErnestArthur

Predicting since Nov 202584 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.0K on Crypto markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $500 riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET.

Biggest hit: +$1.0K on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$1	95¢	100¢	+$0
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	96¢	100¢	+$0
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Politics	YesResolved	$1	98¢	100¢	+$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$1	99¢	100¢	+$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	99¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$500	50¢	0.0¢	-$500
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$5.0K

Politics+$0

Tech+$0

Culture+$0

Economy+$0

MLB+$0

Finance+$0

Biggest hit

+$1.0K

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$15mo ago
Bought Yes · Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$16mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will no CEO be announced in 2025?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will no CEO be announced in 2025?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$16mo ago
Bought No · Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$16mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$17mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$17mo ago