← Whale Watch

FridayImInLove

Predicting since Feb 2026448 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $12K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $980 across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.9K on Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$507.0¢3.1¢-$28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$192.2¢0.8¢-$12
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$52.5¢1.4¢-$2
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2021¢1.4¢-$19
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1901.9¢0.0¢-$190
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2527¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$848¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$29770¢0.0¢-$297
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$9005.9¢0.0¢-$900
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4964¢0.0¢-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2569¢0.0¢-$25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$4500.8¢0.0¢-$450
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9979¢0.0¢-$99
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$5907.1¢0.0¢-$590
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5081¢0.0¢-$50
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10011¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12342¢0.0¢-$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1075¢0.0¢-$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$500.4¢0.0¢-$50
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3354.1¢0.0¢-$335
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10027¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2557¢0.0¢-$25
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$143.6¢0.0¢-$14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$450.7¢0.0¢-$45
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1318¢0.0¢-$13
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$80.8¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$58.5¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$252¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1578¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41211¢0.0¢-$412
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?PoliticsYesResolved$108.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$192.1¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2076¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$4960¢0.0¢-$49
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$252.4¢0.0¢-$25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1009.9¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5091¢0.0¢-$50
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$1848¢0.0¢-$18
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$304.1¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.2¢0.0¢-$100
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$101.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$851.8¢0.0¢-$85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsYesResolved$6011¢0.0¢-$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 16?PoliticsYesResolved$56.4¢0.0¢-$5
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?PoliticsYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$60019¢0.0¢-$600
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2087¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3600.7¢0.0¢-$360
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2411¢0.0¢-$24
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5657¢0.0¢-$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$80011¢0.0¢-$800
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$151.8¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2048¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3510¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$2602.9¢0.0¢-$260
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2043¢0.0¢-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$400.3¢0.0¢-$40
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$9916¢0.0¢-$99
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1006.6¢0.0¢-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5002.8¢0.0¢-$500
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10080¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10965¢0.0¢-$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2054¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$191.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1552¢0.0¢-$15
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$202.7¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$1605.1¢0.0¢-$160
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$148.6¢0.0¢-$14
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$90018¢0.0¢-$900
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$7476¢0.0¢-$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2574¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2856¢0.0¢-$28
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?PoliticsYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$110.2¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2009.5¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$2209.0¢0.0¢-$220
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$182.9¢0.0¢-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$12K
Crypto+$235
World Cup-$141
Mentions-$19
Biggest hit
+$5.9K
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Toughest beat
-$1.7K
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$5022h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$522h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$1002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$1002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$1002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$1503d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$903d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$503d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$44d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 21?$254d ago