 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$6 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?Politics | No | $8 | 38¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
 Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | Yes | $8 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q2 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $156?Finance | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $8 | 33¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $3 | 1.3¢ | 1.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 55¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $3 | 3.7¢ | 3.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 31¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 22?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on July 20?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Ben Rice hit a home run at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?MLB | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Ethereum above 1,940 on July 23, 12AM ET?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Ethereum above 1,930 on July 23, 4AM ET?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 13?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |