Aurelian0

Predicting since May 2025111 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Politics markets since May 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$40	60¢	100¢	+$26
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Politics	NoResolved	$8	77¢	100¢	+$2
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	23¢	100¢	+$7
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	22¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Politics	YesResolved	$12	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$12
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$7	15¢	0.0¢	-$7
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Politics	NoResolved	$10	29¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?Culture	YesResolved	$2	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	97¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$45	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics	YesResolved	$9	83¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$42	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?Culture	YesResolved	$3	18¢	0.0¢	-$3
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?Culture	YesResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$6	11¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$20	19¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?Culture	YesResolved	$8	12¢	0.0¢	-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.6K

Culture-$122

Mentions-$52

Economy-$28

Crypto-$19

Tech-$9

MLB-$8

Golf-$2

NBA+$1

Biggest hit

+$138

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Toughest beat

-$253

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Pope Leo visit another country first?$101y ago
Cashed out No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$01y ago
Bought Yes · Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$11y ago
Bought No · Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$101y ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$111y ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?$401y ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?$01y ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$01y ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$01y ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?$01y ago
Cashed out No · Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$01y ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$401y ago