what-would-hayek-2

Predicting since Jan 202616,049 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics	No	$3	68¢	88¢	+$1
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics	No	$4	76¢	86¢	+$1
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Politics	No	$4	74¢	75¢	+$0
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics	No	$3	56¢	56¢	+$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics	No	$3	67¢	64¢	-$0
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions	No	$3	61¢	58¢	-$0
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$3	41¢	43¢	+$0
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?Mentions	No	$3	51¢	54¢	+$0
Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Mentions	No	$2	21¢	25¢	+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	No	$3	68¢	42¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?Mentions	No	$2	43¢	33¢	-$1
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?Golf	NoResolved	$0	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?Golf	NoResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?Golf	NoResolved	$0	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 9PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$6	64¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Pablo Larrazábal finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?Golf	YesResolved	$0	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?Golf	NoResolved	$0	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$236

Golf-$1

Politics+$0

Mentions-$0

Biggest hit

+$139

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Toughest beat

-$148

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$33h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$36h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$411h ago
Bought No · Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$415h ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?$217h ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$31d ago
Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$31d ago
Bought No · Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$41d ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?$21d ago
Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$32d ago
Bought No · Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$32d ago
Cashed out No · Will Adrián Otaegui finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?$010d ago